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Labour’s Popularity Wobble: Is the Honeymoon Over for Starmer?

Good morning!

Happy Wednesday! We’ve been following the action of Lib Dems’ party conference in Brighton this week, so naturally we’re looking at Ed Davey’s plan for the future. Speaking of the future, what does it hold for Starmer and the Labour party? Figures suggest their popularity is dropping 👀

In case you missed it:

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💂 Sadiq Khan’s new plans for a traffic free Oxford Street

🌍 Home Secretary considers an Albanian-style asylum deal

Lib Dems on the Rise: Targeting the Tory Heartlands

Still fresh off the back of July’s general election, party strategists from the Liberal Democrat’s believe the Conservatives’ recent tack to the right may leave the political centre ground wide open. The Lib Dems’, currently celebrating their best electoral result in over a century with 72 seats - an extraordinary leap from the mere 11 they held in 2019 - are still not satisfied. With momentum on their side, senior party officials at this week’s annual conference in Brighton are setting their sites on at least 20 more seats, aiming to push into the “Blue Wall” - the Conservative stronghold in the South and Midlands.

Ed Davey, riding on jet-skis and rollercoasters high on the Lib Dems’ success, has made it clear that his party’s ambitions are far from capped. He’s reflected on the trust placed on his party by millions of votes since July, arguing that Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives aren’t just “unfit to govern”, but also “unfit for opposition”.

With the Tories moving further right and the Lib Dems eager to claim the political centre, the battle lines for Britain’s future governance are being drawn up. Could the Lib Dems take their seat at the table in a way no one expected? Watch this space.

We couldn’t just put a normal picture of Ed Davey, that would be doing him a disservice

Labour’s Popularity Wobble: Is the Honeymoon Over for Starmer?

Labour and Keir Starmer have been on the receiving end of a sharp dip in popularity since the election, with some polls showing a significant fall. After a challenging summer for the party, it seems Starmer’s honeymoon period was never going to involved sipping strawberry daiquiris’s on the English Riviera or thrilling rides in Brighton (sorry, Sir Davey). Just under two months ago, Labour secured a landslide victory, but few of those “tough choices” they’ve made (their words, not ours) have clearly not landed well with voters.

While Labour is still far more popular than the Conservatives, it’s clear the gloss is wearing off. Data from Ipsos shows Starmer’s favourability has dropped by 14% since becoming Prime Minister, while Chancellor Rachel Reeves has seen a more significant slide, with a 21% dip in her approval. Tough decisions often mean ruffled feathers, and it seems Labour is having to learn that the hard way.

But let’s not write the obituaries just yet. It’s not all doom and gloom for Labour. The Conservatives, while showing slight improvements in approval since their forgetful day in July, are still struggling to regain any real momentum. In fact, Starmer still boasts a higher net favourability than any of the remaining candidates in the Conservative leadership contest. And let’s not forget, we’re only two months into the political cycle, so even with the challenges, Labour has time on its side.

For now, Labour can probably just about still blame some of its less popular decisions on the inefficiencies of the previous Tory government - a playbook that may work for a little longer. But let’s be real, they can’t keep pointing fingers forever. British politics may not be sunshine and rainbows, but it’s certainly never dull!

How can Starmer reignite his popularity?

Bite-Sized Bulletin:

What else has been happening around the world:

🇨🇳 Is China’s economy hitting the brakes?

🇷🇺 Putin wants Russia to have the second biggest army. Guess size really does matter

🇺🇸 Suspect waited 12 hours for Trump in assassination attempt

🇩🇪 Friedrich Merz throws his hat in the ring for Chancellor

🇮🇹 Giorgia Meloni says Starmer was all ears on their Albania migration deal

🇹🇷 Erdogan is working to repair relations with Assad, with refugee numbers forcing tough decisions

🇮🇱 Netenyahu vows retaliation against Houthis after missile strikes central Israel

🇺🇦 Zelensky is asking the US for long-range missiles to hit Russian bases

Scrambled Eggs on the Side:

Awful joke of the day

Jeff Bezos has never been the President of Amazon

Just the Prime Minister

On this day

On this day in 2014, Scottish voters rejected a referendum that would have made Scotland an independent country

Word of the day

Devolution

Devolution is the decentralisation of governmental power. Examples of devolution are the powers granted to the Scottish Parliament, the National Assembly for Wales, the Northern Ireland Assembly and to the Greater London and Local Authorities.

It’s Wednesday, so it’s the most exciting time of the week… Prime Minister’s Questions 😍 Today at 12 noon, don’t forget!

That’s all for today, folks!